Poin-poin Penting:
Indeks Dolar AS (DXY) menunjukkan pola konsolidasi pada hari Senin, ditutup di 106,521 setelah mencapai angka tertinggi intraday 106,691 dan terendah 106,459.
Gambar: USDX stabil di sekitar 106,50 karena momentum yang campur aduk membuat trader fokus pada sinyal bank sentral dan level dukungan kunci, seperti yang terlihat di aplikasi VT Markets.
Momentum bullish dolar telah melemah, dengan trader menunggu kejelasan dari Federal Reserve dan Bank of Japan mengenai langkah kebijakan moneter mereka selanjutnya.
Komentar Federal Reserve tetap penting, dengan trader memprediksi kemungkinan 60% untuk pemotongan suku bunga sebesar 25 basis poin pada bulan Desember. Namun, nada hati-hati dari pejabat Fed mengenai pelonggaran agresif terus membatasi tekanan penurunan pada dolar.
Sementara itu, pernyataan terbaru Gubernur BOJ Kazuo Ueda membuat waktu kenaikan suku bunga Jepang tidak pasti, mendorong pemulihan kecil pada USD/JPY.
Performa dolar terhadap yen konsisten dengan stabilisasi USDX. USD/JPY naik 0,35% menjadi 154,72, pulih dari terendah Jumat di 153,86 setelah Menteri Keuangan Jepang Katsunobu Kato memperingatkan terhadap depresiasi yen yang tajam.
Euro stabil di $1,0540 tetapi tetap dekat dengan titik terendah satu tahun di $1,0496, mencerminkan kekuatan dolar yang lebih luas dan tekanan berkelanjutan pada ekonomi zona euro.
Sementara indeks dolar melakukan konsolidasi, momentum bullish yang berkurang bisa memberikan ruang bagi mata uang lain untuk stabil dalam jangka pendek.
Untuk trader, fokus jangka pendek seharusnya tetap pada sinyal kebijakan dari Fed dan BOJ, serta data inflasi dan manufaktur kunci dari ekonomi besar yang akan datang minggu ini.
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