EUR/USD memulai 2025 dengan momentum bearish yang kuat, menembus level psikologis 1.0300 untuk pertama kalinya sejak akhir 2022. Pergerakan pasangan ini ke 1.02244 mencerminkan tekanan jual yang berkelanjutan, dipicu oleh perbedaan kebijakan moneter antara Federal Reserve dan Bank Sentral Eropa (ECB).
The euro has kicked off the year on a grim note, and hedge funds see it hurtling toward parity with the dollar — if not lower — in the coming months https://t.co/JfoULJGXlI
— Bloomberg (@business) January 3, 2025
Sementara Fed diperkirakan akan memotong suku bunga sebesar 44 basis points tahun ini, pasar mengantisipasi 100 bps pemotongan yang lebih agresif dari ECB. Perbedaan tingkat suku bunga yang semakin lebar ini telah memperkuat kekuatan dolar, menjaga EUR/USD dalam tekanan.
Gambar: EURUSD mengonsolidasikan diri di dekat 1.027 saat momentum stabil, seperti yang terlihat di aplikasi VT Markets.
Melihat grafik, EURUSD stabil di dekat 1.02729 setelah memantul dari level terendah sesi di 1.02244. Pasangan ini menghadapi tekanan jual awal tetapi menemukan dukungan kuat di 1.022 sebelum pulih sedikit.
Level 1.0200, yang sesuai dengan retracement 23.6% dari pergerakan besar 2021-2022, adalah zona support penting berikutnya bagi EUR/USD. Level ini secara historis telah menjadi titik balik:
Mengingat kedekatan level rendah terbaru dengan 1.0200, level ini dapat menarik minat pembeli, terutama karena pasangan ini menunjukkan tanda-tanda terjual terlalu banyak.
Histogram MACD pada grafik menunjukkan momentum bearish yang semakin menurun, mendukung kemungkinan pemantulan.
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