Pasangan EUR/USD diperdagangkan dekat 1.045 tetapi tidak berhasil mempertahankan momentum naiknya, menghadapi perlawanan di 1.04614 sebelum turun. Pasangan ini mencatat tinggi 1.04862 sebelum tekanan jual mendorongnya turun, ditutup di 1.04405.
The euro zone’s bout of economic sluggishness is lasting longer than anticipated, European Central Bank Governing Council member Fabio Panetta said, warning that the so far resilient jobs market may be cracking https://t.co/ngjIegAj7f
— Bloomberg (@business) February 19, 2025
Di bidang perdagangan, Presiden Donald Trump mengulangi rencana untuk mengenakan tarif 25% pada impor mobil, semikonduktor, dan farmasi dari Eropa mulai 2 April. Ini dapat berdampak negatif bagi produsen Eropa dan membebani euro dalam jangka menengah.
Sementara itu, ECB diperkirakan akan memangkas suku bunga sebesar 25 poin dasar di masing-masing dari tiga pertemuan mendatang, menurunkan suku bunga deposito dari 2.75% menjadi di bawah 2% pada tahun 2026. Prospek ini membatasi potensi kenaikan bagi euro, karena trader terus memperkirakan sikap dovish ECB.
EUR/USD tetap di bawah tekanan, dengan risiko ekonomi dan ketidakpastian perdagangan membebani pasangan ini. Jika menembus di bawah 1.04348, ini dapat membuka lebih banyak penurunan, sementara pergerakan berkelanjutan di atas 1.04614 diperlukan untuk mengubah sentimen ke arah pemulihan.
Gambar: EUR/USD berjuang untuk mempertahankan keuntungan saat momentum negatif meningkat, menghadapi perlawanan di 1.04614, seperti yang terlihat di aplikasi VT Markets.
MACD berbalik negatif, mengindikasikan meningkatnya momentum bearish, sementara harga terus melayang di dekat rata-rata pergerakan jangka pendek, menunjukkan aksi harga yang tidak stabil tanpa breakout yang jelas ke arah mana pun.
Para trader kemungkinan akan tetap memantau pengumuman ECB yang akan datang dan berita tentang kebijakan perdagangan AS untuk menentukan langkah selanjutnya dari euro.
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