Dolar Australia naik sekitar $0.64 pada hari Jumat, mencapai tinggi sepuluh minggu saat trader merespon data ekonomi yang kuat, memperkuat ekspektasi penurunan suku bunga secara bertahap dari Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
Dollar wobbles, Aussie just below 2-month high ahead of RBA decision https://t.co/DEcLMQcZAv pic.twitter.com/2gbPcL2aRY
— Reuters (@Reuters) February 18, 2025
Data menunjukkan bahwa pertumbuhan sektor swasta berlanjut selama lima bulan berturut-turut, dengan sektor manufaktur dan jasa berkembang. Selain itu, pasar tenaga kerja tetap kuat, dengan jumlah pekerjaan meningkat lebih dari yang diperkirakan pada bulan Desember, memperkuat kepercayaan pada ekonomi.
RBA menurunkan suku bunga sebesar 25 basis poin menjadi 4.1% awal pekan ini, langkah yang diharapkan banyak orang. Namun, Gubernur Michele Bullock menekankan bahwa inflasi tetap menjadi masalah, menandakan bahwa potongan lebih lanjut mungkin terbatas dalam waktu dekat. Pasar memperkirakan penurunan suku bunga secara bertahap, dengan proyeksi suku bunga 3.6% pada bulan September, mengindikasikan dua lagi potongan suku bunga 25 basis poin.
Sementara dolar Australia tetap memiliki momentum yang kuat, trader mengalami pengambilan untung dekat titik tertinggi sesi $0.64086, yang berfungsi sebagai ketahanan jangka pendek.
Gambar: AUD/USD menunjukkan tren naik yang stabil dengan fluktuasi di dekat 0.64 pada grafik 15 menit, seperti yang terlihat di aplikasi VT Markets
Penarikan kembali ke $0.63907 pada penutupan menunjukkan bahwa peserta pasar mengunci keuntungan, menunggu sinyal lebih lanjut dari RBA dan sentimen risiko global.
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