Poin-poin penting
P pasangan EUR/USD memulai bulan Desember dengan catatan negatif, ditutup pada angka1.0489 semalam. Ketegangan anggaran yang dialami pemerintah Prancis dan masalah lebih luas di zona euro semakin memperlemah posisi pasangan ini di antara mata uang G10.
France’s government risks collapse before the end of the week. Here's what to know about the potentially painful economic and financial consequences https://t.co/Iy17NQAShj
— Bloomberg (@business) December 2, 2024
Gambar: EUR/USD bergerak turun di tengah momentum negatif, menguji level dukungan utama, seperti yang terlihat di aplikasi VT Markets.
Dari analisis grafik, indikator teknis utama menunjukkantekanan turun lebih lanjut, dengan pasangan ini bertahan pada level resistensi kuat di 1.050. Analis memperkirakan bahwa pasangan ini akan menguji level dukungan di 1.046 seiring dengan kebijakan US Fed yang akan datang dan menguatnya dollar.
Pedagang harus memperhatikan kemungkinan pergerakan di bawah 1.04600 atau pembalikan di atas 1.05015 untuk menentukan langkah besar berikutnya.
Peserta pasar bersiap mengantisipasi risiko ke bawah jika situasi macet pemerintah Prancis berlanjut.
Melihat ke sisi AS, data manufaktur yang membaik semakin memperkuat daya saing dollar. Sikap menyokong dari Federal Reserve hanya memperlebar jarak antara jalur ekonomi kedua wilayah, meski keberlanjutannya masih perlu dilihat.
Ancaman tarif dari Presiden terpilih Donald Trump tetap menjadi kekhawatiran bagi EUR/USD. Negara-negara yang berusaha melawan status dollar sebagai mata uang cadangan mungkin akan menghadapi tantangan saat tahun baru semakin dekat.
Pasar memperkirakan bahwa dollar mungkin akan terus kuat di bawah pemerintahan Trump, didukung oleh langkah perdagangan dibandingkan pelonggaran moneter.
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