Poin-poin penting
Sesi perdagangan hari Senin melihat mata uang Asia mengalami tekanan seiring dengan penguatan dolar. Baht Thailand turun sebesar 0.7%, mencatat penurunan terburuk dalam dua minggu dan menuju penurunan bulanan pertama dalam enam bulan.
Meski peso Filipina sedikit naik, ia berada pada jalur penurunan bulanan pertama sejak Mei. Won Korea Selatan turun sebesar 0.4%, sementara ringgit Malaysia tetap stabil tetapi telah kehilangan hampir 4% di bulan Oktober.
Kenaikan nilai dolar sebagian besar dipicu oleh kebijakan potensial Trump, yang dapat mempertahankan suku bunga tinggi di AS, situasi yang menguntungkan dolar tetapi memberi beban berat pada mata uang mitra dagangnya.
Seiring mendekatnya pemilu AS di bulan November, tren ini mungkin semakin menguat, terutama jika angka dukungan untuk Trump terus meningkat.
Bank sentral di wilayah ini mulai melonggarkan kebijakan moneter untuk mengatasi tekanan ini. Pekan lalu, Bank Thailand dengan tidak terduga menurunkan suku bunga utama, bergabung dengan Filipina dalam menurunkan suku bunga.
Di Indonesia, pengangkatan kabinet Presiden Prabowo Subianto menandai pengangkatan kembali Sri Mulyani Indrawati sebagai menteri keuangan.
Ini harus mendukung pasar obligasi negara dan rupiah dalam jangka pendek, meskipun reaksi pasar saham campur aduk saat trader menunggu rincian tentang arah kebijakan Prabowo.
Saham Indonesia naik 0.3%, sementara rupiah turun 0.2%.
Indonesia’s President Prabowo Subianto reappointed Sri Mulyani Indrawati as the nation’s finance minister on Sunday https://t.co/lWHwHjrFMT
— Bloomberg Politics (@bpolitics) October 21, 2024
Peserta pasar kini mengalihkan perhatian mereka pada data inflasi yang akan datang dari Malaysia dan Singapura akhir minggu ini, dengan kejutan apa pun kemungkinan mempengaruhi mata uang regional dan pasar saham.
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